XRP Price Prediction: Will It Hit $2?

#XRP

• Technical Crossroads: XRP price is consolidating below its key 20-day moving average ($2.009), but a positive MACD suggests underlying bullish momentum is building for a potential breakout attempt.
• Sentiment Dichotomy: The market is caught between bullish catalysts like ETF inflows and bearish pressure from whale selling, creating a conflicted outlook that hinges on which force dominates.
• $2 Target Viability: Reaching $2 is a feasible near-term scenario, contingent on a decisive break above the $2.009 resistance level, powered by ETF inflows overcoming persistent whale distribution.

XRP Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: XRP/USDT Trading Pair

As of December 20, 2025, XRP is trading at 1.9230 USDT, slightly below its 20-day moving average of 2.0090. This positioning suggests the asset is in a consolidation phase relative to its recent trend.

The MACD indicator, with a value of 0.0869 above its signal line at 0.0731 and a positive histogram of 0.0139, indicates building bullish momentum. However, the current price sits between the Bollinger Band middle line (2.0090) and lower band (1.8187), pointing to a neutral-to-slightly-bearish short-term bias within the defined volatility channel.

"The convergence of price below the moving average but with a positive MACD suggests a battle between short-term selling pressure and emerging bullish momentum," says BTCC financial analyst Olivia. "A decisive break above the 20-day MA could signal a shift toward the upper Bollinger Band NEAR 2.1992."

Market Sentiment: ETF Flows vs. Whale Activity

Recent headlines present a mixed picture for XRP. Positive catalysts include spot ETF inflows, which analysts LINK to a potential breakout toward $1.99, and the emergence of a TD Sequential buy signal, often viewed as a precursor to a trend shift.

These bullish factors are tempered by reports of continued selling pressure from large holders ('whales'), which appears to have persisted despite the positive news of an ETF approval. This divergence creates a conflicted sentiment landscape.

"The market narrative is currently split," observes BTCC's Olivia. "While institutional products like ETFs are generating new demand, significant distribution by early large investors is acting as an overhead cap on prices. Sentiment is cautiously optimistic but heavily reliant on whether ETF inflows can ultimately overpower the whale selling."

Factors Influencing XRP’s Price

Spot ETF Inflows Drive XRP Potential Breakout Toward $1.99 Target

XRP surged 4.43% to $1.92, with trading volume hitting $4.39 billion as six consecutive weeks of Spot ETF inflows lifted net assets to $1.14 billion. The hidden bullish divergence suggests underlying strength despite recent price stagnation.

Technical indicators point to a critical juncture, with XRP testing the $1.99 resistance level within a descending broadening wedge pattern. The convergence of 20-day and 50-day EMAs signals potential for an upward breakout, marking a pivotal moment for the token's recovery trajectory.

XRP ETF Approval Fails to Stem Whale-Driven Selling Pressure

Despite the landmark approval of an XRP exchange-traded fund, the cryptocurrency continues to face significant selling pressure from large holders. On-chain analytics reveal whale wallets dominating exchange inflows, with institutional-scale transfers flooding Binance.

CryptoQuant data shows 100K-1M XRP and 1M+ XRP wallet bands account for most exchange deposits - volumes incompatible with retail activity. This persistent sell-side pressure suggests institutional players remain unconvinced by the ETF's long-term bullish case.

The market appears caught between two narratives: regulatory progress symbolized by the ETF approval versus the harsh reality of whale distribution. As one trader noted: 'When the tide goes out, you see who's been swimming naked.'

XRP Price Prediction: Analysts Eye Trend Shift as TD Sequential Buy Signal Emerges

XRP stabilizes near $1.87 amid renewed market scrutiny, with technical indicators suggesting potential exhaustion of recent downward momentum. Trading volume remains robust at $4.5 billion despite a 0.55% daily decline, signaling sustained participation rather than panic selling.

The appearance of a TD Sequential buy signal has prompted analysts to reassess short-term prospects. Ali Martinez, a prominent technical analyst, highlights this development as XRP rebounds from an intraday low below $1.80, reinforcing the $1.80-$1.87 zone as critical support.

Will XRP Price Hit 2?

Based on the current technical setup and market sentiment, reaching the $2 level is a plausible near-term target, but it faces immediate resistance.

The primary hurdle is the 20-day moving average at $2.009, which the price is currently testing from below. A sustained break above this level, confirmed by rising volume, would be the first strong technical signal that a move toward $2 is underway. Furthermore, the upper Bollinger Band at $2.1992 serves as a potential extended target if bullish momentum accelerates.

The fundamental driver for such a move would likely be a sustained increase in spot ETF inflows that finally outweighs the selling pressure from large holders. The conflicting news highlights the key battle: new institutional demand versus profit-taking by early investors.

Key Levels to Watch:

"The path to $2 is clear but not guaranteed," concludes BTCC financial analyst Olivia. "It requires the bullish momentum indicated by the MACD to translate into a price break above the $2.009 average. Monitoring ETF flow data in the coming days will be critical to gauge if the fundamental demand is strong enough to trigger this technical breakout."